Darlington 1883 1-0 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.68
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.39
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+8.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.11/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.36
-17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chester
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 3-2 HT 3-0 Chester Chester İCON
01.04.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-2 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İCON
08.10.2022 Chester Chester 0-1 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
12.02.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 2-1 HT 1-1 Chester Chester İCON
13.11.2021 Chester Chester 2-2 HT 0-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
21.09.2021 Chester Chester 1-0 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
1-0
AWAY Chester
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 squeezed past Chester 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Darlington 1883 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 54% of the ball to Chester's 46%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darlington 1883 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Darlington 1883 and 1.33 for Chester.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Chester?

Darlington 1883 1-0 Chester in the England - Conference on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 43%, draw 26%, Chester 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darlington 1883) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✗ BTTS Yes
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