Hampton & Richmond 5-0 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.18/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.10
-16% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hampton & Richmond
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Welling United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2025 Welling United Welling United 2-3 HT 2-1 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
19.03.2024 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-1 HT 1-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
30.01.2024 Welling United Welling United 2-1 HT 0-1 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
25.04.2023 Welling United Welling United 3-0 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
08.10.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-1 HT 0-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
15.03.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 2-1 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hampton & Richmond
5-0
AWAY Welling United
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hampton & Richmond vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hampton & Richmond swept aside Welling United 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Hampton & Richmond found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hampton & Richmond had 55% of the ball to Welling United's 45%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hampton & Richmond and 1.67 for Welling United.

What was the final score of Hampton & Richmond vs Welling United?

Hampton & Richmond 5-0 Welling United in the England - Conference on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hampton & Richmond vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hampton & Richmond win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hampton & Richmond 39%, draw 29%, Welling United 33%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) ✗ Under 2.5
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