Kidderminster Harriers 3-0 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.71
Over
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No Pick
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.66
2-3
39%
1.73
4-5
23%
4.05
6+
10%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.1pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.7pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 18%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +29%
1.79/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.16
-3% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +52%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
401 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.11.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-1 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
24.01.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-1 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
16.08.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
26.03.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 5-0 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
14.12.2021 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-1 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
28.11.2020 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
3-0
AWAY Curzon Ashton
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers cruised past Curzon Ashton 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kidderminster Harriers as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 65% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 35%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 0.50 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Curzon Ashton?

Kidderminster Harriers 3-0 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 50%, draw 29%, Curzon Ashton 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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