Oxford City 1-2 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.16
2-3
44%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.44
6+
8%
13.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford City The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC The Market 50%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.17/2.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.04
-3% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
248 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hereford FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2024 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Oxford City Oxford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford City
1-2
AWAY Hereford FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
3 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oxford City vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC squeezed past Oxford City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hereford FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Oxford City had 48% of the ball to Hereford FC's 52%, shots finished 3-16.

What was the final score of Oxford City vs Hereford FC?

Oxford City 1-2 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 34%, draw 23%, Hereford FC 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hereford FC) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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