Hereford FC 0-2 Oxford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.03
Over Pick
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.86
2-3
40%
1.83
4-5
19%
3.18
6+
13%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
53%
-14.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
22%
+15.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford City The Market 25%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.60/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.22
-11% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +34%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hereford FC
0-2
AWAY Oxford City
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Oxford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford City beat Hereford FC 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Oxford City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hereford FC had 40% of the ball to Oxford City's 60%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Oxford City?

Hereford FC 0-2 Oxford City in the England - Conference on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Oxford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 39%, draw 24%, Oxford City 37%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✗ Over 2.5
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