Salisbury 0-2 Aveley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.95
Over
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
34%
3.41
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
19%
3.24
6+
7%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.41 — our 34% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.8pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Aveley EU Bookmakers 23%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -32%
2.91/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.21
+64% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Aveley
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2025 Aveley Aveley 2-2 HT 0-1 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salisbury
0-2
AWAY Aveley
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Aveley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aveley beat Salisbury 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Salisbury at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Salisbury had 51% of the ball to Aveley's 49%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Aveley?

Salisbury 0-2 Aveley in the England - Conference on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Aveley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 46%, draw 26%, Aveley 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Salisbury) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salisbury) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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