Dundee United 1-0 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 12 Apr 2025

Dundee United
1-0 HT 1-0
St. Johnstone
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Dundee United vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.25
6+ Goals
11%
20.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.25 — our 26% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.54
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.75
X/1
10%
4.26
X/2
7%
8.15
X/X
9%
4.58
2/1
11%
26.5
2/2
9%
6.79
2/X
8%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundee United v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.33/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.22
+15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
25.6 Crosses 17.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Dundee United vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.98 xG 0.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 Passes 223
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.12.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-2 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
24.08.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
06.05.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
18.02.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-2 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
02.01.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
01.10.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 1-2 HT 0-2 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP

Dundee United 1-0 St. Johnstone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
1-0
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.17 xG 0.95
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
239 Passes 308
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United nicked a narrow win over St. Johnstone 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dundee United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dundee United had 44% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 56%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.17 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dundee United and 1.00 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs St. Johnstone?

Dundee United 1-0 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 51%, draw 27%, St. Johnstone 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee United) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ Over 2.5
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