Celtic 5-1 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.18
2-3 Goals
37%
2.15
4-5 Goals
29%
2.63
6+ Goals
15%
5.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.37
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
24.2
X/1
26%
3.91
X/2
4%
24.65
X/X
7%
9.81
2/1
9%
21.6
2/2
5%
20.7
2/X
7%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
77%
-9.2pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.3pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
2.78/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.48
+22% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
520 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 70%
43.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
27.8 Crosses 14.2
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kilmarnock
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.60 xG 1.22
72% Ball Possession 28%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
558 Passes 140
85% Pass Accuracy 60%
37 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Celtic Celtic 2-1 HT 1-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKK
10.11.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
04.08.2024 Celtic Celtic 4-0 HT 2-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
15.05.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-5 HT 0-3 Celtic Celtic İKP
17.02.2024 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
10.12.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic swept aside Kilmarnock 5-1. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Celtic and 0.67 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Celtic 5-1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Celtic 68%, draw 20%, Kilmarnock 12%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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