Celtic 2-1 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.96
2-3 Goals
38%
2.05
4-5 Goals
28%
2.42
6+ Goals
13%
5.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
77%
-12.5pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.7pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
4.07/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.74
+54% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +50%
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
503 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 72%
54.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.8 Crosses
0.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kilmarnock
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.61 xG 1.28
73% Ball Possession 27%
22 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
576 Passes 136
86% Pass Accuracy 59%
38 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
04.08.2024 Celtic Celtic 4-0 HT 2-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
15.05.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-5 HT 0-3 Celtic Celtic İKP
17.02.2024 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
10.12.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
07.10.2023 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 2-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
2-1
AWAY Kilmarnock
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic squeezed past Kilmarnock 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Celtic had 68% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 32%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Celtic and 0.67 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Celtic 2-1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Cup on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Celtic 65%, draw 20%, Kilmarnock 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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