St. Mirren vs Ross County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Mirren v Ross County — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs Ross County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Ross County
İKP
1-0
HT 0-0
St. Mirren
İKP
1-0
HT 1-0
Ross County
İKP
St. Mirren 3-2 Ross County — Actual Match Statistics
St. Mirren edged past Ross County 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had St. Mirren as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, St. Mirren had 54% of the ball to Ross County's 46%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.66 to 1.16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Mirren and 0.50 for Ross County.
What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Ross County?
St. Mirren 3-2 Ross County in the Scotland - Premiership on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Ross County?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 49%, draw 24%, Ross County 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Mirren) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.