Ilkeston Town 1-1 United of Manchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
2.03
Over
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
30%
4-5
19%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-10.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY United of Manchester EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +27%
2.39/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.27
+41% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
1W-1D-1L
AWAY United of Manchester
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 United of Manchester United of Manchester 1-1 HT 0-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
06.01.2024 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 2-0 HT 0-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
22.08.2023 United of Manchester United of Manchester 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilkeston Town
1-1
AWAY United of Manchester
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town and United of Manchester couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ilkeston Town had 60% of the ball to United of Manchester's 40%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ilkeston Town and 0.67 for United of Manchester.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester?

Ilkeston Town 1-1 United of Manchester in the England - Non League Premier on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 37%, draw 27%, United of Manchester 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilkeston Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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