United of Manchester 1-1 Ilkeston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.23
Over
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.7pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME United of Manchester EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +3%
1.75/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.50
+12% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
340 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME United of Manchester
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ilkeston Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.01.2024 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 2-0 HT 0-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
22.08.2023 United of Manchester United of Manchester 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME United of Manchester
1-1
AWAY Ilkeston Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH United of Manchester vs Ilkeston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

United of Manchester and Ilkeston Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, United of Manchester had 49% of the ball to Ilkeston Town's 51%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for United of Manchester and 1.00 for Ilkeston Town.

What was the final score of United of Manchester vs Ilkeston Town?

United of Manchester 1-1 Ilkeston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for United of Manchester vs Ilkeston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a United of Manchester win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split United of Manchester 38%, draw 25%, Ilkeston Town 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (United of Manchester), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (United of Manchester) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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