Merthyr Town vs Poole Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Merthyr Town v Poole Town — Team-Based Signals
Merthyr Town vs Poole Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Poole Town
İNGNLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Merthyr Town
İNGNLP
1-2
HT 1-1
Poole Town
İNGNLP
2-0
HT 2-0
Merthyr Town
İNGNLP
Merthyr Town 1-2 Poole Town — Actual Match Statistics
Poole Town squeezed past Merthyr Town 2-1 away from home.
This one beat our numbers. Merthyr Town carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Merthyr Town had 63% of the ball to Poole Town's 37%, shots finished 9-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Poole Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Merthyr Town and 1.67 for Poole Town.
What was the final score of Merthyr Town vs Poole Town?
Merthyr Town 1-2 Poole Town in the England - Non League Premier on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Merthyr Town vs Poole Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Merthyr Town 56%, draw 20%, Poole Town 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Merthyr Town) went the other way.