Karlshamn 1-1 Balkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.07
Over Pick
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
42%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Balkan EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -1%
1.93/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.11
+1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
253 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 183 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlshamn
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Balkan
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
12.10.2024 Balkan Balkan 2-3 HT 2-0 Karlshamn Karlshamn İSÇ4
15.06.2024 Karlshamn Karlshamn 2-1 HT 1-1 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
20.10.2021 Balkan Balkan 1-0 HT 1-0 Karlshamn Karlshamn İSÇ4
31.07.2021 Karlshamn Karlshamn 0-1 HT 0-1 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Karlshamn vs Balkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlshamn and Balkan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Karlshamn and 1.25 for Balkan.

What was the final score of Karlshamn vs Balkan?

Karlshamn 1-1 Balkan in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlshamn vs Balkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlshamn win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Karlshamn 40%, draw 27%, Balkan 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karlshamn), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karlshamn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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