Sevilla (K) 2-1 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.1pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.5pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.76/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.71
+51% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
20.8 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.36 xG 1.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
265 Passes 297
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
03.02.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 3-3 HT 2-0 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla (K)
2-1
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
1.42 xG 0.99
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
256 Passes 281
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sevilla (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla (K) squeezed past Madrid CFF (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Sevilla (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sevilla (K) had 49% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 51%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.42 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Madrid CFF (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sevilla (K) and 2.50 for Madrid CFF (K).

What was the final score of Sevilla (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Sevilla (K) 2-1 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Sevilla (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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