Hannover 96 1-3 Elversberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.03
Over
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No Pick
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.74
2-3
41%
1.82
4-5
20%
3.15
6+
11%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.74 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.46
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
16%
5.62
X/2
10%
6.17
X/X
7%
5.07
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.0
2/X
9%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Elversberg EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.55/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.28
-23% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
19.4 Crosses 13.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Elversberg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.06 xG 1.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
376 Passes 304
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 3-1 HT 2-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
20.01.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 2-2 HT 0-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
29.07.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-2 HT 1-2 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
1-3
AWAY Elversberg
1.21 xG 2.95
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
267 Passes 364
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Elversberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elversberg got the better of Hannover 96 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hannover 96 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 44% of the ball to Elversberg's 56%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 1.21 to 2.95.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Elversberg led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hannover 96 and 2.33 for Elversberg.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Elversberg?

Hannover 96 1-3 Elversberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Elversberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 44%, draw 23%, Elversberg 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025
14:00 Hertha Berlin vs Darmstadt 98 Analysis →
14:00 Ulm 1846 vs Magdeburg Analysis →
21:30 Kaiserslautern vs Nürnberg Analysis →