Colegiales 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒23:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.4pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colegiales EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 39%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
0.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.24
-100% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Colegiales vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colegiales nicked a narrow win over Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Colegiales found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Colegiales vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Colegiales 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colegiales vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colegiales win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Colegiales 36%, draw 31%, Ferro Carril Oeste 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colegiales), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colegiales) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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