Alvarado 0-2 San Martin Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.57
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
Over 2.5
23%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
25%
2.4
No
75%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
54%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
35%
-8.8pp
35%
Draw
32%
+2.5pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.3pp
25%
BTTS Yes
38%
-12.4pp
75%
BTTS No
62%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvarado EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +27%
0.83/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.54
-19% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +90%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvarado
2W-1D-3L
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
19.10.2024 Alvarado Alvarado 0-2 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
02.06.2024 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
03.09.2023 Alvarado Alvarado 1-1 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
25.04.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 1-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
14.03.2022 Alvarado Alvarado 3-1 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
13.03.2022 Alvarado Alvarado 3-1 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Alvarado vs San Martin Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman got the better of Alvarado 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (26% / 35% / 39%) promised a tight game; San Martin Tucuman found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (77%), no to both teams scoring (75%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alvarado and 1.33 for San Martin Tucuman.

What was the final score of Alvarado vs San Martin Tucuman?

Alvarado 0-2 San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvarado vs San Martin Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 26%, draw 35%, San Martin Tucuman 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin Tucuman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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