Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
24%
2.83
Away
43%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.3pp
24%
Draw
32%
-7.8pp
43%
Away Win
26%
+16.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.4pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.28/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.87
+15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.10.2022 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
18.04.2022 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2-1 HT 2-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
31.08.2021 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
18.04.2021 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
05.12.2020 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 2-2 HT 1-2 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
02.11.2019 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros squeezed past Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes Rio Cuarto at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 1.00 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 33%, draw 24%, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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