Defensores Unidos 1-2 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.51
No
68%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.3pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.3pp
32%
BTTS Yes
36%
-3.8pp
68%
BTTS No
64%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 45%
+18% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.24/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.10
+39% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores Unidos
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
08.09.2024 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-0 HT 0-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
20.04.2024 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 3-2 HT 2-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
17.07.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-2 HT 1-1 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
11.03.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Defensores Unidos vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano squeezed past Defensores Unidos 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Defensores De Belgrano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Defensores Unidos had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Defensores Unidos and 1.25 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of Defensores Unidos vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Defensores Unidos 1-2 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores Unidos vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensores De Belgrano win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Defensores Unidos 33%, draw 30%, Defensores De Belgrano 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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