MC Magra 2-0 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.48
Over
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.07
2-3
44%
1.78
4-5
16%
5.6
6+
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Magra EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 24%
+16% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -18%
1.61/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.98
+25% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Magra
1W-3D-1L
AWAY USM Khenchela
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-0 HT 1-0 MC Magra MC Magra CZYR
11.06.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-2 HT 1-0 MC Magra MC Magra CZYR
19.01.2024 MC Magra MC Magra 1-1 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
07.07.2023 MC Magra MC Magra 2-1 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
07.12.2022 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-1 HT 1-1 MC Magra MC Magra CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Magra
2-0
AWAY USM Khenchela
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH MC Magra vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Magra got the better of USM Khenchela 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MC Magra as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, MC Magra had 51% of the ball to USM Khenchela's 49%, shots finished 11-2.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for MC Magra and 1.20 for USM Khenchela.

What was the final score of MC Magra vs USM Khenchela?

MC Magra 2-0 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Magra vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Magra win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split MC Magra 48%, draw 28%, USM Khenchela 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Magra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MC Magra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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