Middelfart 2-1 Hellerup IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 12 Apr 2025

Middelfart
2-1
Hellerup IK
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Middelfart vs Hellerup IK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 30% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
65%
-16.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
14%
+12.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middelfart v Hellerup IK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 17%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +19%
1.74/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.60
-12% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Middelfart vs Hellerup IK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hellerup IK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
23.03.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 4-0 HT 1-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
14.10.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-2 HT 1-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
20.11.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 1-2 HT 0-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
02.10.2021 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-0 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
24.06.2020 Middelfart Middelfart 2-0 HT 0-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Hellerup IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart edged past Hellerup IK 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Middelfart as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middelfart had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Middelfart and 1.00 for Hellerup IK.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Hellerup IK?

Middelfart 2-1 Hellerup IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Hellerup IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 48%, draw 25%, Hellerup IK 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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