Fremad Amager 3-0 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.81
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.83
6+ Goals
7%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 30% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-9.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+9.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 18%
-17% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.63/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.92
-17% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
432 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremad Amager
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Thisted
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2024 Thisted Thisted 1-3 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
25.05.2024 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 0-1 HT 0-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
14.04.2024 Thisted Thisted 1-2 HT 0-2 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
06.04.2024 Thisted Thisted 3-3 HT 0-2 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
20.08.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 2-1 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fremad Amager
3-0
AWAY Thisted
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fremad Amager vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremad Amager ran out comfortable winners over Thisted 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fremad Amager as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fremad Amager had 62% of the ball to Thisted's 38%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fremad Amager had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fremad Amager and 1.40 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Fremad Amager vs Thisted?

Fremad Amager 3-0 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremad Amager vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Fremad Amager 52%, draw 24%, Thisted 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fremad Amager), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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