Thisted 1-3 Fremad Amager — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-0.2pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.6pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thisted EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 57%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.11/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/1.39
-16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
185 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thisted
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Fremad Amager
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2024 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 0-1 HT 0-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
14.04.2024 Thisted Thisted 1-2 HT 0-2 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
06.04.2024 Thisted Thisted 3-3 HT 0-2 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
20.08.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 2-1 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
POST-MATCH Thisted vs Fremad Amager
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremad Amager saw off Thisted 3-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fremad Amager as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fremad Amager led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Thisted and 1.75 for Fremad Amager.

What was the final score of Thisted vs Fremad Amager?

Thisted 1-3 Fremad Amager in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thisted vs Fremad Amager?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Thisted 23%, draw 32%, Fremad Amager 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fremad Amager), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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