FC Helsingor 2-1 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
16.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Helsingor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.32/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.05
+3% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Helsingor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Naestved
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.52 xG 1.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
336 Passes 335
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Naestved Naestved 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN2
01.06.2024 Naestved Naestved 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
31.03.2024 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 1-3 HT 1-1 Naestved Naestved DAN1
05.12.2023 Naestved Naestved 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
23.07.2023 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 2-1 HT 2-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
07.05.2023 Naestved Naestved 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Helsingor
2-1
AWAY Naestved
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Helsingor vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Helsingor nicked a narrow win over Naestved 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day FC Helsingor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Helsingor had 41% of the ball to Naestved's 59%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Naestved led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Helsingor and 1.83 for Naestved.

What was the final score of FC Helsingor vs Naestved?

FC Helsingor 2-1 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Helsingor vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Helsingor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Helsingor 40%, draw 24%, Naestved 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Helsingor), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Helsingor) ✓ BTTS Yes
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