Caersws 2-3 Airbus UK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.18
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
63%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
11%
+6.7pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.8pp
63%
Away Win
73%
-10.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Airbus UK EU Bookmakers 78%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.58/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.08/0.70
+66% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +53%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
256 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 482 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Airbus UK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
21.12.2024 Airbus UK Airbus UK 5-0 HT 2-0 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
13.01.2024 Caersws Caersws 3-3 HT 2-1 Airbus UK Airbus UK GALFAW
21.10.2023 Airbus UK Airbus UK 3-3 HT 1-2 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Airbus UK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airbus UK squeezed past Caersws 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Airbus UK as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Airbus UK led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Caersws and 3.67 for Airbus UK.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Airbus UK?

Caersws 2-3 Airbus UK in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Airbus UK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Airbus UK win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Caersws 18%, draw 19%, Airbus UK 63%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Airbus UK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Airbus UK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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