Carmarthen Town 5-5 Penrhiwceiber Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
Over Pick
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
40%
4-5
24%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.4pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+10.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.1pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhiwceiber Rangers EU Bookmakers 30%
+17% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.05/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
+5% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Penrhiwceiber Rangers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
02.11.2024 Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
19.10.2024 Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3-4 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALWK
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town and Penrhiwceiber Rangers couldn't be separated, finishing 5-5. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Carmarthen Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.50 for Penrhiwceiber Rangers.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers?

Carmarthen Town 5-5 Penrhiwceiber Rangers in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 43%, draw 20%, Penrhiwceiber Rangers 37%. The final score 5-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Carmarthen Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✓ Over 2.5
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