Goytre United 0-3 Newport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
22%
4.49
Away Pick
57%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
42%
4-5
30%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Newport City win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.6pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.2pp
57%
Away Win
66%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goytre United EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport City EU Bookmakers 70%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.31/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.30
+5% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
244 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goytre United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Newport City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
23.08.2024 Newport City Newport City 0-1 HT 0-1 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
POST-MATCH Goytre United vs Newport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport City ran out comfortable winners over Goytre United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newport City as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Goytre United vs Newport City?

Goytre United 0-3 Newport City in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goytre United vs Newport City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Goytre United 21%, draw 22%, Newport City 57%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newport City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newport City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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