Banga Gargzdai 1-3 FK Riteriai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 34%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.02/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.38
-99% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FK Riteriai
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-2 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
05.08.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
03.06.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
05.04.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
21.10.2022 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 2-2 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
26.08.2022 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banga Gargzdai
1-3
AWAY FK Riteriai
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs FK Riteriai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Riteriai got the better of Banga Gargzdai 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day FK Riteriai made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Banga Gargzdai had 57% of the ball to FK Riteriai's 43%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Riteriai led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.00 for FK Riteriai.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs FK Riteriai?

Banga Gargzdai 1-3 FK Riteriai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs FK Riteriai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banga Gargzdai win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 38%, draw 29%, FK Riteriai 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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