FA Siauliai 2-0 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
55%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 61%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -22%
1.90/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.69
+82% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
227 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 HT 2-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
04.10.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-3 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
26.05.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-2 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
07.04.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
22.10.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-2 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
06.08.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai got the better of Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zalgiris Vilnius at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FA Siauliai and 2.17 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

FA Siauliai 2-0 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 22%, draw 23%, Zalgiris Vilnius 55%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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