FK Panevezys 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.47/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.53
+46% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +107%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
18.10.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
27.07.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 3-3 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
02.03.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
12.11.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
19.08.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Panevezys
0-1
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dziugas Telsiai squeezed past FK Panevezys 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was FK Panevezys at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, FK Panevezys had 59% of the ball to Dziugas Telsiai's 41%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Panevezys and 0.50 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai?

FK Panevezys 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 44%, draw 27%, Dziugas Telsiai 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Panevezys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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