Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.29
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
73%
-9.3pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.9pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.49/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.99
+40% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +100%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
3W-3D-0L
AWAY FA Siauliai
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-3 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
26.05.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-2 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
07.04.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
22.10.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-2 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
06.08.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
04.06.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-2 HT 1-2 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
3-1
AWAY FA Siauliai
57% Ball Possession 43%
27 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius got the better of FA Siauliai 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 57% of the ball to FA Siauliai's 43%, shots finished 27-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.00 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs FA Siauliai?

Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 64%, draw 20%, FA Siauliai 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5
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