Hegelmann Litauen 4-1 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 42%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.43/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.34
+26% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
1W-0D-2L
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
19.10.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 3-2 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
24.04.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 1-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
03.03.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-3 HT 1-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
4-1
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen cruised past TransINVEST Vilnius 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Hegelmann Litauen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 51% of the ball to TransINVEST Vilnius's 49%, shots finished 15-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, TransINVEST Vilnius led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 2.33 for TransINVEST Vilnius.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Hegelmann Litauen 4-1 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 37%, draw 28%, TransINVEST Vilnius 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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LITA More Lithuania - 1st Division
6 Nov 2024
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