Assiden IF 1-4 Mjondalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
19%
6.26
Away Pick
66%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
44%
4-5
21%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Mjondalen win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
8%
+7.5pp
19%
Draw
13%
+6.3pp
66%
Away Win
79%
-13.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assiden IF EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 84%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.75/0.76
+4% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +20%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 475 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Assiden IF
1-4
AWAY Mjondalen
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 34
2 Shots on Target 14
2 Corners 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Assiden IF vs Mjondalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjondalen cruised past Assiden IF 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mjondalen as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Assiden IF had 33% of the ball to Mjondalen's 67%, shots finished 7-34.

What was the final score of Assiden IF vs Mjondalen?

Assiden IF 1-4 Mjondalen in the Norway - NM Cup on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assiden IF vs Mjondalen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mjondalen win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Assiden IF 15%, draw 19%, Mjondalen 66%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjondalen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjondalen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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