12/04/2025
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-3
Frigg vs Lorenskog Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over Pick
60%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
34%
4-5
28%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
22%
Draw
23%
46%
Away Win
38%
52%
BTTS Yes
71%
48%
BTTS No
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Frigg v Lorenskog — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Frigg
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lorenskog
EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
375 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
295 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Frigg vs Lorenskog
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lorenskog got the better of Frigg 3-1 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lorenskog as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
What was the final score of Frigg vs Lorenskog?
Frigg 1-3 Lorenskog in the Norway - NM Cup on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Frigg vs Lorenskog?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lorenskog win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Frigg 33%, draw 22%, Lorenskog 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorenskog), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Lorenskog)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NOK
More Norway - NM Cup
12 Apr 2025