Vindbjart 0-3 Jerv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
56%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
3.14
Over Pick
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
36%
4-5
29%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
28%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+9.0pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.6pp
56%
Away Win
67%
-11.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vindbjart EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Jerv EU Bookmakers 71%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.34/0.65
-22% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +44%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
215 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vindbjart
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Jerv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
18.04.2018 Vindbjart Vindbjart 1-2 HT 1-0 Jerv Jerv NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vindbjart
0-3
AWAY Jerv
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vindbjart vs Jerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv ran out comfortable winners over Vindbjart 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jerv as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vindbjart had 28% of the ball to Jerv's 72%, shots finished 7-18.

What was the final score of Vindbjart vs Jerv?

Vindbjart 0-3 Jerv in the Norway - NM Cup on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vindbjart vs Jerv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Vindbjart 23%, draw 21%, Jerv 56%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jerv), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jerv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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