Chrobry Glogow 2-2 Arka Gdynia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
50%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.67
Over
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No Pick
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.6
2-3
39%
1.73
4-5
20%
4.15
6+
8%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
50%
Away Win
55%
-5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 59%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
0.66/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.64
-34% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +68%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
180 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chrobry Glogow
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Arka Gdynia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-0 HT 0-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
05.04.2024 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-1 HT 1-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
23.09.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 1-0 HT 1-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
21.04.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-3 HT 0-3 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
16.09.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 3-4 HT 2-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
26.05.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-2 HT 0-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chrobry Glogow
2-2
AWAY Arka Gdynia
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chrobry Glogow vs Arka Gdynia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chrobry Glogow and Arka Gdynia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arka Gdynia at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chrobry Glogow had 40% of the ball to Arka Gdynia's 60%, shots finished 11-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chrobry Glogow and 1.67 for Arka Gdynia.

What was the final score of Chrobry Glogow vs Arka Gdynia?

Chrobry Glogow 2-2 Arka Gdynia in the Poland - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chrobry Glogow vs Arka Gdynia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chrobry Glogow 25%, draw 24%, Arka Gdynia 50%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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