Olimpia Elblag 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.64
Over
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No Pick
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.53
2-3
41%
1.73
4-5
17%
4.28
6+
10%
22.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
26%
+9.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.16/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.49
-4% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Elblag
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 4-0 HT 1-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
06.03.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 3-0 HT 2-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
05.08.2023 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 1-0 HT 1-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
01.05.2021 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 3-1 HT 1-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
07.11.2020 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 3-1 HT 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Elblag
1-1
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olimpia Elblag vs Olimpia Grudziadz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Elblag and Olimpia Grudziadz shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olimpia Elblag had 40% of the ball to Olimpia Grudziadz's 60%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Olimpia Grudziadz led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Olimpia Elblag and 2.20 for Olimpia Grudziadz.

What was the final score of Olimpia Elblag vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Olimpia Elblag 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Elblag vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Elblag 36%, draw 25%, Olimpia Grudziadz 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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