Polonia Bytom 5-3 SKRA Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.71
Over
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2.68
2-3
39%
1.73
4-5
27%
4.01
6+
9%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Polonia Bytom win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
68%
-5.1pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.8pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.6pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 14%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
3.30/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.13
+59% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
2W-2D-1L
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.10.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-2 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
23.02.2024 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 2-1 HT 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
17.02.2024 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 2-2 HT 1-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
13.08.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
04.08.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
5-3
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs SKRA Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom got the better of SKRA Czestochowa 5-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 54% of the ball to SKRA Czestochowa's 46%, shots finished 20-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Polonia Bytom had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Polonia Bytom and 1.20 for SKRA Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Polonia Bytom 5-3 SKRA Czestochowa in the Poland - 2nd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 63%, draw 19%, SKRA Czestochowa 18%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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