Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1-1 HT 0-0
Dinamo Moscow
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.87
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.0
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
10%
8.18
X/2
15%
4.72
X/X
8%
5.41
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.52
2/X
11%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.0 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v Dinamo Moscow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.17/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.20
+18% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
17.5 Crosses 14.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.11 xG 1.80
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
240 Passes 446
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-1 HT 2-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
21.04.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-4 HT 0-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
02.11.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-1 HT 1-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
15.09.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
25.07.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
15.04.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-1 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pari Nizhny Novgorod and Dinamo Moscow shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Moscow at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 2.33 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Moscow?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 24%, draw 27%, Dinamo Moscow 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
12 Apr 2025
12:00 FK Orenburg vs CSKA Moskova Analysis →
17:00 Rubin Kazan vs Lokomotiv Moscow Analysis →
19:30 FC Akhmat Grozny vs Rostov Analysis →