Rubin Kazan 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 27% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.24
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
9%
6.17
X/2
15%
5.43
X/X
13%
4.63
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
17%
3.48
2/X
5%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -7%
0.96/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.42
-9% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
15.2 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 1.04
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
214 Passes 382
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
20.04.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
01.11.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-0 HT 3-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
08.08.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
22.07.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 2-2 HT 1-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
08.05.2022 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
1-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
1.22 xG 0.96
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
270 Passes 425
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Lokomotiv Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan squeezed past Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Rubin Kazan found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 43% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 57%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.22 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rubin Kazan and 1.50 for Lokomotiv Moscow.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Rubin Kazan 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 36%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Moscow 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✗ Over 2.5
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