Shenzhen FC 3-4 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.38
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.5
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
30%
2.68
6+ Goals
15%
7.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.48
1/2
4%
24.35
1/X
5%
12.1
X/1
16%
5.97
X/2
19%
6.04
X/X
3%
5.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.95
2/2
8%
3.55
2/X
12%
12.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.95 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
38%
+10.2pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.4pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
+0.2pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 40%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.49/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.86
+16% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
24.5 Crosses 18.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.34 xG 2.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
302 Passes 191
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 3-1 HT 2-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
28.03.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 3-4 HT 1-2 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
3-4
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
2.70 xG 2.01
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 0
385 Passes 232
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 21
38 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun squeezed past Shenzhen FC 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Shenzhen FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 61% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 39%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 2.70 to 2.01 — the balance of chances actually favoured Shenzhen FC.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yunnan Yukun led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shenzhen FC and 3.50 for Yunnan Yukun.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Yunnan Yukun?

Shenzhen FC 3-4 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shenzhen FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 48%, draw 20%, Yunnan Yukun 31%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shenzhen FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shenzhen FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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