Beijing Guoan 1-2 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.58
6+ Goals
11%
6.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.09
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
11%
11.9
X/1
12%
5.65
X/2
19%
6.63
X/X
10%
5.63
2/1
8%
22.25
2/2
11%
3.96
2/X
5%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.0pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 37%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.16/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.54
-11% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
20.4 Crosses 23.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 1.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
369 Passes 276
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
29.03.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
14.09.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 2-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
05.05.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 2-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
29.10.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-3 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
03.07.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
1-2
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.96 xG 0.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
306 Passes 255
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao edged past Beijing Guoan 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Chengdu Qianbao made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 53% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 47%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.96 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.50 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Beijing Guoan 1-2 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 37%, draw 26%, Chengdu Qianbao 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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