Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
10%
6.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.09
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
16%
4.55
X/2
7%
10.2
X/X
10%
6.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.8
2/2
17%
7.2
2/X
7%
15.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.8 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 24%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.61/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.48
-21% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
25.6 Crosses 13.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.37 xG 1.00
47% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 Passes 344
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
14.09.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 2-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
05.05.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 2-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
29.10.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-3 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
03.07.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
30.06.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-0 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2-0
AWAY Beijing Guoan
2.36 xG 0.56
35% Ball Possession 65%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
223 Passes 462
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao beat Beijing Guoan 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 35% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 65%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.36 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.33 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Beijing Guoan?

Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 45%, draw 26%, Beijing Guoan 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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