Beijing Guoan 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.3
6+ Goals
11%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.48
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
19%
5.5
X/2
17%
6.15
X/X
11%
4.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.14
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.13/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.34
+5% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
14.1 Crosses 23.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 1.42
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
298 Passes 255
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 2-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
05.05.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 2-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
29.10.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-3 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
03.07.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
30.06.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-0 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
08.06.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-3 HT 2-3 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
1-1
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.29 xG 1.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 7
359 Passes 350
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan and Chengdu Qianbao shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 50% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 50%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 1.29 to 1.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.33 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Beijing Guoan 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 39%, draw 24%, Chengdu Qianbao 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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