Meizhou Hakka 3-4 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 29 Mar 2025

Meizhou Hakka
3-4 HT 3-1
Shandong Taishan
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2025

Meizhou Hakka vs Shandong Taishan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
53%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.71
2-3 Goals
44%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.68
6+ Goals
9%
6.97
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.71 — our 26% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.2
1/2
7%
20.1
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
9%
10.1
X/2
15%
4.52
X/X
10%
6.25
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
30%
2.11
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+13.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-13.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.8pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Meizhou Hakka v Shandong Taishan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 60%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.63/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.98
-64% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -23%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
227 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 86%
34.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
25.0 Crosses 20.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Meizhou Hakka vs Shandong Taishan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.11 xG 2.27
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 384
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-1 HT 1-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
14.06.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-0 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
04.08.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 6-1 HT 3-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
26.07.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-6 HT 0-4 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNK
06.05.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 2-1 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
05.10.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-2 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN

Meizhou Hakka 3-4 Shandong Taishan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
3-4
AWAY Shandong Taishan
0.36 xG 2.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
144 Passes 324
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
5 Box Touches 39
4 Crosses 39
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Meizhou Hakka vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan squeezed past Meizhou Hakka 4-3 away from home. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shandong Taishan as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 33% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 67%, shots finished 5-21, expected goals 0.36 to 2.00 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shandong Taishan's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 2.83 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Meizhou Hakka vs Shandong Taishan?

Meizhou Hakka 3-4 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meizhou Hakka vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 24%, draw 23%, Shandong Taishan 53%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shandong Taishan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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