Dalian Zhixing 2-0 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.04
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.52
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
10%
5.39
X/2
12%
6.1
X/X
12%
4.57
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
11%
4.25
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+4.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
Crosses 12.2
Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
2-0
AWAY Changchun YaTai
2.55 xG 0.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
292 Passes 314
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing saw off Changchun YaTai 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dalian Zhixing as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 49% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 51%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.55 to 0.36.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Changchun YaTai?

Dalian Zhixing 2-0 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 44%, draw 24%, Changchun YaTai 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dalian Zhixing), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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