Henan Jianye 1-3 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
8%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 31% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.27
1/2
8%
25.0
1/X
13%
13.4
X/1
17%
7.32
X/2
17%
5.0
X/X
7%
4.68
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
15%
2.9
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.8pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.99/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.21
-56% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
237 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
27.7 Crosses 18.8
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 1.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
312 Passes 307
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.10.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
21.05.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-2 HT 0-2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
16.09.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
28.05.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
27.12.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
04.10.2022 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
1-3
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.34 xG 2.57
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
212 Passes 376
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua got the better of Henan Jianye 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 39% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 61%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.34 to 2.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Henan Jianye and 1.17 for Shanghai Shenhua.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Henan Jianye 1-3 Shanghai Shenhua in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 34%, draw 26%, Shanghai Shenhua 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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