Shanghai Port 2-2 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.42
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
27%
2.54
6+ Goals
15%
5.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.66
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.05
X/1
18%
4.15
X/2
7%
14.8
X/X
8%
7.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
19.35
2/2
9%
11.2
2/X
5%
19.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.35 — our 14% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.6pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.1pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 18%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
2.67/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.70
+14% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.4 Crosses 18.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
3.94 xG 1.42
64% Ball Possession 36%
26 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
479 Passes 237
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
51 Box Touches 16
32 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-1 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
28.03.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-3 HT 3-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
28.09.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-1 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
21.07.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 5-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
18.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-5 HT 1-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
01.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-5 HT 0-2 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
2-2
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
3.02 xG 1.62
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
488 Passes 218
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port and Qingdao Jonoon shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Shanghai Port carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 66% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 34%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 3.02 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for Shanghai Port and 1.33 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Shanghai Port 2-2 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 60%, draw 19%, Qingdao Jonoon 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shanghai Port) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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