Yunnan Yukun 3-1 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
13%
9.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.53
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
13.2
X/1
21%
4.75
X/2
7%
8.08
X/X
10%
5.48
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.0
2/2
15%
5.72
2/X
7%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.0 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+4.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
Crosses 15.4
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunnan Yukun
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.68 xG 2.06
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
175 Passes 336
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 24
5 Crosses 39
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 3-4 HT 1-2 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
3-1
AWAY Shenzhen FC
3.10 xG 0.63
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
207 Passes 267
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun saw off Shenzhen FC 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 45% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 55%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 3.10 to 0.63.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen FC?

Yunnan Yukun 3-1 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 53%, draw 22%, Shenzhen FC 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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